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June 2, 2006 |
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7:15 a.m. |
REGISTRATION AND CONTINENTAL BREAKFAST |
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8:00 a.m. |
WELCOME AND
GREETINGS |
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Co-Chairs:
Michael LeGresley,
President & CEO,
Giffels Design-Build
Inc. and Asset Management
Fraser Nelson,
General
Manager & Vice President, Metrus Development Inc.
OPENING
PRESENTATIONS: |
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8:05 a.m. |
THE ECONOMIC OUTLOOK FOR THE
GTA: 2006 AND BEYOND |
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The opening presentation will examine the
economic outlook and performance of the GTA market and the
trends that are driving the growth in the area. What is the
outlook for employment and growth for the GTA? What is the
projection for the GTA market versus western Canada? How will
the GTA market perform in comparison to eastern Canada? What
will be the impact of rising energy costs? What type of
manufacturing and industry activity is growing and where?
Where are Canadian interest rates and bond yields heading and
what will be the impact on the GTA market?
Speaker:
Mario Lefebvre, Director, Metropolitan Outlook
Service,
The Conference Board of Canada
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8:30 a.m. |
EMERGING DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS
& POPULATION GROWTH: OUTLOOK FOR THE GREATER GOLDEN
HORSESHOE
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Immigration, major urban migration trends,
interprovincial trends, and demographic trends are all
affecting growth in the GGH and Southern Ontario. Given the
forecasts for manufacturing and industry activity, what will be
the impact on communities and residential development? Has
there been any significant change in growth patterns in the GGH over the past year? Will there be new pockets of growth
activity in the GGH and where? How does this compare with
provincial forecasts? How much reliance should investors and
developers place on these forecasts in making land investment
decisions?
Speaker:
Frank Clayton, President, Clayton Research
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8:55
a.m.
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AN OVERVIEW AND OUTLOOK FOR
LAND IN THE CANADIAN MARKET: WHERE IS THE ACTIVITY AND WILL
THE PRICE CONTINUE TO RISE |
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This session will provide a strategic analysis
of land transactions in the GTA. Using trend setting sales in
2005, the speaker will examine the activity level in the
market and will provide an overview of key investment trends.
How much activity is there in greenfields and industrial
development? How does the transaction level in the GTA compare
with investment activities in Calgary and Vancouver? Where are
trading volumes and cap rates currently and where do they
appear to be heading in the next 12 months?
Speaker:
George Carras, President, RealNet Canada Inc.
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9:15 a.m.
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AN ANALYSIS OF THE KEY
PRESSURES AND MAJOR ISSUES ON THE AVAILABILITY OF LAND IN THE
GGH |
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The speakers in this session will examine the
influence of economic, demographic, and investment trends on
the availability of land. Is there more land available for
development or is it drying up? What is the impact of these
key pressures on land availability and value in the suburbs
and in the city? How much land is available for development,
and how does a potential buyer determine the value? What
impact does the current availability of land and price trends
have on retail, industrial, and residential development?
Moderator:
Randy Grimes, Director, IBI Group
Panel:
Haydn Matthews, Executive Vice President, Land
Development,
Great Gulf Homes
Tom McCormack, Executive Director, Centre for Spatial
Economics
Ken Nevar, Executive Vice President, Cooper
Construction Limited
Mark Tutton, Senior Vice President, Land Development,
Tribute Communities
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10:10 a.m. |
MORNING
REFRESHMENTS |
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10:35 a.m. |
CONCURRENT
SESSIONS (Select A1, A2, or A3) |
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Session A1
THE IMPLICATIONS OF THE NEW PLANNING ACT
AND BILL 51: WILL IT HAMPER THE DEVELOPMENT PROCESS IN
ONTARIO?
There is considerable debate about the latest
revisions to the Planning Act and their impact on development
activity. How will the role of the OMB change? When will it
change? How will it affect land development? Will an
open-house consultation have a huge impact on the planning
process? Will it facilitate the planning and development
process and provide easier access to building permits? What
are the implications for development charges and zoning
by-laws? Will these changes support a conservation agenda? How
will the introduction of architectural control and minimum
densities impact design and development standards?
Moderator:
Lynda Townsend Renaud,
Lynda J. Townsend
Renaud LLP
Panel:
Greg Daly, Associate Principal, Walker, Nott, Dragicevic Associates Limited
Stephen Diamond, Partner, Real Property & Planning,
McCarthy Tetrault LLP
Andrew Madden, President, Diral Development
Corporation
Mark Noskiewicz, Partner, Goodmans LLP
Neil Rodgers, President, Urban Development Institute
Session A2
AN OVERVIEW OF LAND VALUES & DEVELOPMENT OPPORTUNITIES IN THE
905 AREA
This session will provide an analysis of the most significant
trends and issues impacting land value and development in what
is commonly referred to as the 905 area. Are there still
opportunities for major retail and industrial developments in
this area? What will be the impact of the recently announced
government funding for redevelopment initiatives and
infrastructure renewal? Do current land prices still allow for
viable, profitable development? If there is a scarcity of
land, are developers moving into brownfields? What impact will
recent government funding initiatives have on infrastructure
renewal and development opportunities in the 905 area?
Moderator:
Leith Moore, Vice President Development, Landtactix Inc.
Panel:
Janet Babcock, Commissioner, Planning
and Development,
Town of Richmond Hill
George Borovilos, Director, Economic Development &
Tourism,
Northumberland County
Leo DeLoyde, General Manager, Corporate Services,
City of Burlington
Gary Gregoris, Vice President, Land-Halton Division,
Mattamy Homes Limited
John Walker, Director, Long Range & Strategic
Planning,
Regional Municipality of York
Blair Wolk, Project Manager, Orlando
Corporation
Session A3
THE BROKERS ROUNDTABLE: THE NATIONAL OVERVIEW ON LAND
INVESTMENT ACTIVITY
Access to debt and equity capital has rarely been better and
at, historically, very low rates. This session will feature a
wide-ranging discussion on current and emerging land
investment trends in the GGH and in key cities across Canada
from the perspective of leading brokers. Who are the most
active buyers? Who are the sellers? What are some of the key
issues that need to be considered when buying land in Calgary,
Vancouver , Quebec, or the GGH. What are the comparative
pressures that influence the land value in each location?
Where are prices today and where are they headed?
Moderator:
Michael LeGresley,
President & CEO,
Giffels Design-Build
Inc. and Asset Management
Panel:
Gordon Cook, Senior Vice President & Director, Colliers
International
Mike Czestochowski, Vice President, CB Richard Ellis
Limited
John MacDonald, Partner, JJ Barnicke Edmonton Ltd.
Peter Mason, Senior Vice President & Director of
Business Development,
Cushman & Wakefield LePage Inc.
Ken Westhaver, Principal, Development Services,
CB
Richard Ellis Alberta Limited
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11:35 a.m. |
CONCURRENT
SESSIONS (Select B1, B2, or B3) |
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Session B1
WHAT IS THE TREND AND DEMAND FOR VARIOUS TYPES OF CONDO
DEVELOPMENTS: WHAT ABOUT LAND PRICES AND AVAILABILITY?
Activity in the residential condominium market continued at a
record pace in 2005 and yet there seems to be an insatiable
appetite for this product. What strategies are developers
implementing to deal with the rising costs of land?
What is the short and long-term outlook for condominium
development? What strategies are developers implementing to obtain approval for higher density? Is there evidence
of a change in demand for product types? Are family units
becoming more popular? Is there a growing preference for mid
or low-rise developments as opposed to high-rise? Are
condominiums that are designed as green buildings experiencing
stronger demand than traditional products? With the escalating
cost of land, is there a business-case for building co-ops?
What is the inventory and price of land for these product
types?
Moderator:
Barry Lyon, President, Barry Lyon Consultants
Limited
Panel:
Andy Brethour, President,
PMA Brethour Group
Ian MacLeod, Manager, Land Valuation,
Altus Helyar
Linda Mitchell, Vice President of Marketing, High-Rise,
Monarch Corporation
Session B2
GROWING OPPORTUNITIES IN BROWNFIELD DEVELOPMENTS
With the shrinking manufacturing base and supply of greenfields, developers are looking for new opportunities.
Developers who traditionally build low-rise are looking at
high-rise and green field developers are now looking a brownfields. What are the opportunities for a cost-effective brownfield development in the City of Toronto, in the suburbs,
and other key locations in the GGH? Has there been a
perceptual change in the public’s acceptance of remediated
sites? What are the attitudes of lenders and investors towards brownfields and are there government initiatives and
partnership strategies to help remediation plans turn
environmental hazard sites into profitable developments?
Moderator:
Don Goundry, Vice President, CB Richard Ellis
Limited
Panel:
Richard Dresher, Vice President, CMD Insurance
Services Inc.
Mitch Fasken, President, Kimshaw Holdings Limited
Don Mathew, Senior Vice President, Land & Commercial
Development,
Giffels Management
Limited
Bill Roth, Sector Director, Real Estate Services,
Jacques Whitford
Session B3
LAND ACQUISITION STRATEGIES: INNOVATIVE FUNDING ALTERNATIVES &
NEW PARTNERSHIPS
There is currently a scarcity of serviced lots in the GGH and
many acquisitions are conducted on a cash basis. There is also
a lot of consolidation taking place in the market; big players
are getting bigger and smaller players are being squeezed out.
This session will address the availability of capital and
examine some of the innovations that are dominating today’s
market activities. What forms of capital are evolving? Are the
debt and equity markets increasing or decreasing the amount of
capital available for land transactions? Gain insights into
how developers are forming partnerships to finance projects
and taking equity positions to facilitate a development
project. Learn why some lenders are moving from a traditional
to a non-traditional role in the current environment.
Moderator:
Gerard Caverson, Vice President, Real Estate
Lending,
MCAP Financial Corporation
Panel:
Craig Binning, Associated Director,
Hemson
Consulting Ltd.
Rob Goodall, President,
Canadian Mortgage Capital
Corporation
Andrew Guizzetti, Executive Vice President, Empire
Communities
Kevin Murphy, Vice President Commercial,
Builder Finance,
Ontario, Royal
Bank of Canada
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12:35 p.m. |
LUNCHEON
REFRESHMENTS |
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NETWORKING
LUNCHEON |
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1:30 p.m. |
ROUNDTABLE DISCUSSION
AN
UPDATE ON GROWTH MANAGEMENT ACROSS THE GGH: HOW ARE
MUNICIPALITIES RESPONDING? |
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This session will provide an update on the
Government of Ontario’s growth management strategies and
examine some of the modifications that were implemented
in 2005. The implications of the Places to Grow policy and
the Greenbelt legislation on cities in the GGH will be
examined. Some of the issues that will be
examined include:
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What policies are municipalities introducing
to stimulate development?
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Is there a preference for one type of
development over another?
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Are there plans to relax zoning by-laws to facilitate new growth?
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What does the future hold for employment
lands?
Moderator:
Fraser Nelson,
General
Manager & Vice President, Metrus Development Inc.
Panel:
John Corbett, Commissioner of Planning, Design &
Development,
City of Brampton
Jay Currier, Town Manager, Town of Bradford West
Gwillimbury
Brad Graham, Assistant Deputy Minister, Ontario
Growth Secretariat,
Ministry of Public Infrastructure Renewal
Larry Kotseff, CAO, City of Guelph
Peter Lee, City Administrator, City of Barrie
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2:30 p.m. |
CONCURRENT
SESSIONS (Select C1, C2 or C3) |
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Session C1
THE TRANSITION FROM ASSET MANAGERS: HOW REAL
ESTATE INVESTORS AND ORGANIZATIONS ARE FOCUSING ON MORE
DEVELOPMENT OPPORTUNITIES
An increasing number of
traditional real estate investors are moving into
development to continue to grow their business and
portfolios. The challenge in finding viable
acquisitions and the tightening of vacancy rates have
all contributed to economic rents that justify new
development activity. This session will examine the
major challenges that organizations face and must
address, as they try to expand into more real estate
development. The panelists will discuss their various
experiences in trying to find viable sites and
development opportunities, assembling an appropriate
internal and external team, securing the necessary
capital, and understanding and dealing with a cumbersome
approval process, among other issues.
Moderator:
Tony Moro, former President & CEO, Deltera
Inc., Tridel Builders Inc.
Panel:
Margaret Knowles, Senior Vice President, Development,
Morguard Investments Limited
Jeff Miller, Vice President & Market Officer,
Capital Deployment - Toronto,
ProLogis
Stephen Suske, Vice Chair, President, & Trustee,
Chartwell Seniors Housing REIT
Art Welter, Vice President, Development, Trinity
Development Group Inc.
Session C2
WHAT IS THE OUTLOOK FOR LAND VALUE AND DEVELOPMENT OUTSIDE THE
GREENBELT? ARE THERE MORE OPPORTUNITIES?
A discussion on land availability and prices
outside the Greenbelt and the 905 area. What development is
taking place in these areas and how challenging is it to find
large parcels of land for community development? What
potential impact will these infrastructure plans and funding
initiatives have on land values and the supply of land for
development purposes? What new opportunities will be available
for retail, industrial, and residential development as a
result of these new funding initiatives?
Moderator:
John Genest, Partner,
Malone Given Parsons Ltd.
Panel:
David Gerofsky, COO & Partner, First Golf Development
Corporation
Celeste Phillips, Partner, Meridian Planning
Consultants Inc.
Peter Schut, Vice President, Acquisitions &
Development,
Brookfield Homes (Ontario) Limited
Lucy Stocco, Executive Vice President, Tribute
Communities
Session C3
RESIDENTIAL INTENSIFICATION: WHAT ARE THE NEW OPPORTUNITIES?
The speakers in this session will provide an overview of some
of the major intensification projects that have taken place
over the past year, in the context of a rapidly changing
market and policy context. Have the inconsistencies in density levels in
the city and the 905 areas been resolved or do they still
exist? Is governance still a major issue affecting this type
of development in built-up communities and neighbourhoods? The
government recently announced some key funding initiatives and
infrastructure programs. What will be the impact of these
initiatives on the supply of land and intensification
projects?
Moderator:
George Payne, Group Leader, Commercial
Real Estate, Toronto Practice,
McMillan Binch Mendelsohn
Panel:
Paul Bedford, Urban Mentor & Chief Planner
Emeritus, City of Toronto
Jeff Lehman, Senior Consultant, Metropolitan
Knowledge International
Hazel McCallion, Mayor, City of Mississauga
Bryan Tuckey, Commissioner of Planning & Development
Services,
Regional Municipality of York
Jack Winberg, President & CEO, The Rockport Group
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3:30 p.m. |
CLOSING ROUNDTABLE: WHAT DOES
THE FUTURE HOLD FOR LAND VALUE AND DEVELOPMENT ACTIVITY? |
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Although Canadian real estate
still represents exceptional value on a global basis, the
cost of land continues to escalate unabated and in today’s
market exceeds the cost of land in some major international
markets. Many pundits maintain that current government
policies and legislation will only serve to worsen the
problem. This panel will include a comparative discussion of
land values and development activity in key markets across
Canada.
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Do
opportunities still abound in the GTA? If so, where and
how are developers taking advantage of these
opportunities? How do these opportunities compare with
major centres in Calgary and Vancouver?
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Does
development really impose a financial burden on
municipalities? If not, how can the industry correct
this perception?
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Are
Canada’s servicing and planning models driving up the
cost of land?
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The
Places to Grow policy was supposed to stimulate
intensification? Is it working and if not, what is
needed? Has it contributed to downtown office
development in Toronto? Do similar policies exist in
other key markets?
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Are the
municipalities really receptive to all forms of
development or do they favour one type over another?
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Do
municipalities have the tools to finance growth? If not,
can the industry provide some solutions?
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How can
the industry raise the public’s awareness of the
positive implications of development?
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How is
inflation of construction costs impacting the current
and forecast development model? For example, land prices
must diminish or the final product must inflate to world
levels.
Moderators:
Michael LeGresley, President & CEO,
Giffels Design-Build
Inc. and Asset Management
Fraser Nelson, General Manager & Vice President, Metrus
Development Inc.
Panel:
Brian Johnston, President, Monarch
Corporation
Phil King, President,
Orlando Corporation
Mark Mandelbaum, Vice President, Land Development, H&R Developments
Michael Nachamkin, Senior Vice President & Regional
Director,
North East U.S. and Canada, ProLogis
Alan Norris, President & CEO, Carma Developers
Ltd. |
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4:30 p.m. |
ADJOURNMENT |
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MMPC Expositions ULC, all
rights reserved.
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