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All delegates to RealCapital will automatically be
registered to attend the
CB Richard
Ellis Market Update presentations. |
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7:00 a.m. |
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Registration Opens
Breakfast Begins
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7:45 a.m. |
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The
Outlook for the Economy for 2007 and Beyond
An
insightful examination of key trends in the North American
economy with a specific view towards future direction over
the short and medium terms, including the outlook for the
Canadian dollar, interest rates, inflation, and bond
yields.
Dr. Warren Jestin, Senior Vice President & Chief
Economist, Scotiabank
The
Canadian and U.S. Political Outlook: One Year Later
A discussion on how the federal and provincial political
landscapes are evolving and the impact these trends may
have for Canadian investors and corporations.
Andrew Coyne, National Affairs Columnist on Political
and Economic Issues,
National Post
The
Outlook for Commercial Real Estate Across Canada
An overview of key commercial real estate leasing and
investment trends across Canada in the office, industrial,
retail, and multi-residential sectors. Predictions for
2007 and 2008 will also be presented.
Blake Hutcheson, Chairman & President, CB Richard Ellis Limited
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9:00 a.m. |
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CB
Richard Ellis Market Update Concludes |
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9:30
a.m. |
PLENARY
SESSION |
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CAPITAL FLOWS, DEBT FINANCING AND
EQUITY INVESTMENT ACTIVITY IN CANADA
The
panel will examine and provide an overview for the major
trends and the availability of capital for debt and
equity for Canadian real estate transactions in what
continues to be a hyper-liquid market. Among the
questions that will be addressed:
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Where is all the money coming from? How much is from
foreign investors vs. domestic sources? With respect
to foreign lenders in Canada, who’s here and who’s not
here? Are we attracting more foreign lenders to the
Canadian market?
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Is
there too much capital to go around? How much is
targeted for the debt market? How much is for equity
investment?
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Is
the capital allocation to real estate continuing to
trend up or down? How long will real estate remain a
strongly desirable option for managers of capital? How
much of this capital is transitional, and would shift
out of real estate if bonds and non-real estate
equities came strongly back in favour? What would be
the key catalysts of such a change in the current
market environment?
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Who has the lowest cost of capital? What is today’s
pecking order in terms of competitiveness of the
various buying groups? Are large domestic pension
funds crowding out others in their rush to buy assets
in Canada?
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Are others with higher costs of capital being driven
up the risk curve into smaller markets because of the
dominance of major buyers? As core investments appear
to be priced to perfection, is capital looking for
more valued added investments either in other
countries or in other categories?
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How has the federal government’s income trust policies
affected the real estate capital markets?
Moderators:
David Dulberg, Managing Director, RBC Capital
Markets Real Estate Group Katherine Lee, Managing
Director, GE Real Estate
Panel:
Richard Dansereau, President & COO, Cadim Inc.
Robert Ezer, President & Co-CEO, Chartwell Seniors Housing REIT
William Jandrisits, Director of Finance,
Starwood Capital Group
Andrew Phillips, Managing Director, TD Securities
Inc.
Moray Tawse, Vice President, Mortgage Investments,
First
National Financial LP
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10:20 a.m. |
MORNING REFRESHMENTS |
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10:50 a.m. |
CONCURRENT SESSIONS (SELECT A1, A2 OR A3) |
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SESSION A1
UNDERWRITING LOANS IN THIS BUOYANT DEBT MARKET: ARE WE
LENDING AT THE PEAK? WHERE IS SPREAD PRICING HEADING?
A
wide-ranging panel discussion will examine debt market
strategies, practices and activities in today’s capital
environment from the perspectives of borrowers,
lenders and brokers. Some of the questions that will be
examined are as follows:
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With the low cost of capital and lower CAP rates, how
are lenders differentiating themselves today? What are lenders doing differently today
than that of five years
ago?
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How aggressive are lenders when some properties may be at
peak valuations? What has happened to margins?
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Given the strong appetite in the mortgage market, at
what point does it become too risky to do a deal? What’s the line that you won’t cross? How is this
reflected in your key lending criteria, pricing, and
lending policies?
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How
are you as lenders assessing a deal and pricing it in today’s
market?
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What product types are lenders looking for?
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Speed and flexibility on a transaction today: how can
they be provided?
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How do you protect yourself against a very aggressive
borrower? How do foreign investors vs. domestic
lenders view this situation ?
Moderator:
Karen Weaver, CFO, First Capital
Realty Inc.
Panel:
Dean Atkins, Vice President, Mortgages,
BC Investment Management Corporation
Richard Brownscombe, President, Montrose Mortgage Corporation
Phil McIlveen, Director, Canadian Mortgages,
Metropolitan Life Insurance Company
Scott Rowland, Director, GE
Real Estate
Alastair Stewart, Vice President, Mortgage
Investments, Eastern Canada,
The Great-West Life Assurance Company
SESSION A2
GLOBAL CAPITAL FLOWS AND LENDING TRENDS
This
session will examine the major trends in global
deal flow including what the major sources
of money are, what markets are strongest, and how
financing and investment practices in other markets
compare with the prevailing trends in Canada. Among the
questions that will be discussed are the following:
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What are you seeing in markets outside of Canada?
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What are the major trends for pricing real estate
globally? What are the major sources of capital,
target returns and product types?
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How are these trends affecting the Canadian market?
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What are the foremost innovations and practices
in US, European, Asian and Latin American markets?
What are they doing better than Canadian lenders and
investors? When will these innovations appear in
Canada?
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From a global rating perspective, where does Canada
sit?
Moderator:
Amy Erixon, COO, Giffels Management
Limited
Panel:
Michael Blackler, Senior Vice President &
Managing
Director, ABN AMRO Real Estate Capital Markets
Neil Downey, Managing Director, RCB Capital
Markets
Seamus Foran, Senior Vice
President,
Brookfield Real Estate Opportunity Fund
John Kriz, Managing Director, Real Estate
Finance, Moody’s Investors Service
SESSION A3
FINANCING CONSTRUCTION AND DEVELOPMENT IN TODAY’S MARKET
Construction
and development financing activity has
risen significantly in today’s market within the
condominium, retail, office and industrial sectors.
Projects can range from build-to-suits and multi-tenant
retail centres, to office and high-rise residential
buildings. This session will examine financing trends
associated with these types of projects. Among the
questions that will be discussed:
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How buoyant is the market today for construction
financing? Where are construction costs trending at
this time? What does it really cost to build and develop
in this market? How much of an impact will this have
on the price of capital?
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How do you protect yourself from cost overruns? How
do you manage inherent risks?
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What is the outlook for trends in construction costs
over the next 24 months? How will this affect
mortgage capital decisions?
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What are the major sources of debt financing and
equity investment for construction and development? What new products are available in this regard?
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How are lenders and investors pricing the risk for
this type of financing?
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How do sources and pricing vary between
build-to-suits, development for your own account, and
sale leasebacks?
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How are U.S. lenders working with developers? What can
Canadians learn from these experiences with respect to
the relationship between the developer and the lender?
Case
studies of construction financing and long-term
financing will also be presented.
Moderator:
Don Mathew, Senior Vice President,
Giffels Management Ltd.
Panel:Michael Carragher, Vice President
of Mortgage
Investments,
Firm Capital Corporation
Paul Davis, Vice President, Commercial Real
Estate
- Ontario, Royal Bank of Canada
John Fleming, President,
Altus Helyar Cost
Consulting
Naftali Sturm, Director, Finance,
SmartCentres
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11:50 a.m. |
CONCURRENT SESSIONS (SELECT B1, B2 OR B3) |
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SESSION B1
AN
UPDATE ON CMBS AND MORTGAGE LOAN SECURITIZATION IN
CANADA: HOW STRONGLY WILL IT CONTINUE TO GROW? IS
IT HEADED FOR ROUGH WATERS?
An
update on the most significant trends in the Canadian
CMBS market and a discussion on some of the myths and
realities related to this syndicated market.
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Why does the CMBS market continue to grow as a lending
force in Canada? How has this market
performed to date? Is it likely to continue to grow
in 2007?
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How will interest rate trends affect growth of this
market? How will the CMBS market respond through an
economic downturn?
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How are CMBS lenders differentiating themselves from
one another? Is the market now getting overcrowded?
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What new products, if any, are being introduced into
Canadian CMBS?
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Who are the buyers for the tranches? Who buys the “B”
piece in Canada?
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What are the major differences between CDO (managed
pools) and CMBS (static pools)?
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Can CMBS lenders reform the system to address the
perceived inflexibility of CMBS loans? How have the
CMBS servicers handled the onslaught of assumptions
and defeasance requests?
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What alternatives are available for large loan amounts
that are not syndicated?
Moderator:
Glen Malcolm, Vice President,
Capmark Canada
Limited
Panel:
Norm Camire, Director, Commercial Mortgage
Origination,
RBC Capital Markets
Paul Scholz, Manager, Origination
& Credit, Merrill Lynch Canada
Jennifer Shum,
Managing Director & Group Head of CMBS,
TD Securities Inc.
Tim Westlake, Senior Vice President, Dominion Bond
Rating Services Limited
SESSION B2
MEZZANINE AND HIGH RATIO FINANCING: WHAT ARE LENDERS
AND
INVESTORS LOOKING FOR? WHY IS IT CONTINUING TO GROW?
Mezzanine and high-ratio financing continue to be
growing components of real estate financing today. This
session will examine this product type and other
non-traditional sources of real estate capital, and the
role that they play in financing real estate across
Canada. Among the questions that will be
addressed are the following:
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What new financing vehicles are entering into this
market? Are more innovative products emerging?
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How is this type of financing being priced in 2007?
Should mezzanine loans be treated as debt or equity?
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Does mezzanine financing work when “speed to market”
and “speed to capital” are essential for a borrower?
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What are the current risks of interim lending? How do
you minimize and manage your risks? Are takeout
sources readily available?
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a low CAP rate environment, the margin of error in
high ratio lending shrinks. How should lenders
respond to the tightening yields and future risks?
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What kind of appetite do they have for investments for
the next 24 months? What are their strategies at this
time with respect to the Canadian market? What will be
their priorities in 2007 and 2008 by product type and
market across Canada?
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Are new sources of capital entering the real estate
market? For example, new pension funds, increases in
allocations, more international sources.
Moderator:
Rob Goodall, President, Canadian Mortgage Capital
Corporation
Panel:
David Berman, President & CEO, Tri-Continental
Capital Group Inc.
Rob Brown, Founder, Osprey Bay Holdings Ltd.
Don Matthews, Senior Vice President, Mezz Cap
Canada, ULC
Reiner Plessl, Director, RBC Capital Markets Real
Estate Group
Greg Russell, Vice President, Harbour Mortgage
Corporation
SESSION B3
FINANCING BROWNFIELD SITES AND OTHER ENVIRONMENTALLY
CHALLENGED PROJECTS
With
the significant growth in intensification and
redevelopment activity in new as well as older urban
areas, borrowers and lenders are finding themselves
dealing with brownfield sites, contaminated soils, and
other environmentally- challenged properties more
frequently. This panel will discuss these
challenges and the requirements to achieve a successful
outcome from the standpoint of lenders, vendors and
buyers, mortgage holders, and service providers.
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How are borrowers looking at these types of
transactions? What are their policies and practices
when faced with financing the purchase of these sites
or the development of these types of projects?
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What type of relationship is required between
the developer and lender in these circumstances?
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How are lenders pricing the risk on these properties?
Case studies will be used to examine construction
financing and long-term financing for these types of
products.
Moderator:
John Rider, Vice President, Commercial Division,
First Canadian Title Insurance
Panel:
John Cracknell, Senior Environmental Engineer,
Pinchin Environmental Ltd.
John Dill, Partner, Cherokee Canada
James Evans, Senior Manager, Environmental Risk Management Group,
RBC
Financial Group
David Harper, Managing Partner, Kilmer Brownfield
Equity Fund
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12:50 p.m. |
LUNCHEON REFRESHMENTS |
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INFORMAL LUNCHEON |
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2:00
p.m. |
CONCURRENT SESSIONS (SELECT C1, C2 OR C3) |
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SESSION C1
PRIVATE EQUITY AND OPPORTUNITY FUNDS: WHAT ARE THEY
LOOKING FOR?
A panel of senior executives managing private equity and
opportunity funds will discuss their mandates and
interest in the Canadian commercial and investment real
estate market.
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What kind of appetite do they have for investments
over
the next 24 months? What are their strategies with respect to the Canadian market? What will be
their priorities for 2007 and 2008 by product type and
market across Canada?
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How long do they believe that commercial real estate
will remain in significant favour relative to other
investment alternatives?
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What are the key factors stimulating the growth of
equity funds?
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To
what extent are adequate exit strategies a concern for
fund managers?
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What impact are new sources of capital entering the
real estate market having on equity funds? For
example, new
pension funds, increases in allocations, more
international sources.
Moderator:
Sheila Botting, Senior Managing Director, Capital
Markets,
Cushman & Wakefield LePage
Panel:
Peter Aghar, Partner,
KingSett Capital
Peter Cuthbert, Vice President, Real Estate,
Standard Life Investments
Gerry Gotfrit, President, Stockton & Bush
William Jandrisits,
Director of Finance, Starwood
Capital Group
SESSION C2
SMALL ASSET LENDING: WHO, WHAT, WHERE, AND WHY?
A
very significant part of the real estate debt and equity
market is the financing of a single property or smaller
asset. This session will examine the key trends
associated with these transactions in today’s lending
and investment environment. Among the many questions
that the panel will examine are the following:
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Who is in the small loans market; target spreads and
amounts?
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What are the underwriting standards in this market?
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How is risk being priced, and what areas are perceived
as risky in this market?
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How are lenders responding to the need for quick closing
and
limited due diligence in auction markets?
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What is the opportunity of sourcing a variety of
options on a smaller asset?
Moderator:
Richard Crenian, President, REDEV Properties Ltd.
Panel:
Dan Buttenham,
Regional Director, Commercial Mortgages, Sun Life
Financial
Sheldon Esbin,
President,
Romspen Investment
Corporation Nigel Howard,
Vice President, Commercial Mortgages,
CIBC Commercial Mortgages Inc.
Audrey Howe, Vice President, ACM Advisors Ltd.
SESSION C3
MORTGAGE SERVICING: WHY IS IT FRUSTRATING BORROWERS?
There appears to be some ongoing confusion with respect
to mortgage servicing in today’s market. It may be due
to the increasing preponderance of CMBS activity and the
frustration that borrowers seem to feel with the
administration of these types of loans. This session
will try to clarify some of the issues surrounding the
administration of securitized loans. Discussion will
focus on the following:
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Process from loan funding to first payment
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What role does the original lender have in the file?
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Transfer of file from originator to servicer
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On
CMBS loans, roles of the Master, Primary, Special and
Sub-Servicer functions. How do these roles get
appointed?
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Impact on borrower if servicing is via a U.S.-based
company or a Canadian-based company
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What is a PSA (Pooling and Servicing Agreement)?
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Annual reporting and inspection requirements of
typical Canadian loans. Who does what?
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Loan modification requests (mortgage assumptions,
change in amortization, severances), including
timing, fees and approval process
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Lease approval requests
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Role of the rating agencies and the Controlling Class
Representative
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Are there more changes happening?
Moderator:
David Miller, President,
Canadian Mortgage Rating Service Ltd.
Panel:
Scott Dunkley, Senior Asset
Manager, Midland Loan Services,
Inc.
Ron Findley, Assistant Vice President & Regional
Director,
The Great-West Life Assurance Company
Jacklyn Kendrick, Co-General Manager, Global
Servicing Solutions
Gary Samuel, Partner, Crown Realty Partners
Susan Spence, Legal Counsel, First National
Financial LP
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3:10
p.m. |
ROUNDTABLE ON DEBT & EQUITY MARKET ACTIVITY FOR 2007 AND
BEYOND |
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Having heard earlier in the day from the lenders,
brokers, and investors, it is equally important to get
the perspective of the borrowers and real estate owners
on debt and equity market activity. The following will
be examined:
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To
what extent do they expect to raise their capital in
the public markets? Have trends in the capital markets
made the debt market capable of meeting all the
financing needs of a real estate organization?
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On
the other hand, are conventional lenders competing
effectively with bond markets as a source of capital
for public real estate entities?
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What is your view on the use of leverage in this
market?
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How should real estate owners hedge against the
eventuality of rising rates?
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What impact is the regulatory, tax and accounting
environment in Canada having on your finance and
investment activity?
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Are large domestic pension funds crowding out others
in their rush to buy assets in Canada? Who has the
lowest cost of capital and what is the pecking
order in terms of competitiveness of the various
buying groups?Are others driven up the risk curve
into smaller markets because of the dominance of major
buyers?
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Are those high levels of risk adequately managed? As
core investments appear to be priced to perfection, is
capital looking for more valued-added investments
either in other countries or in other categories? What are the alternatives for Canadian capital?
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How are companies playing the differences in valuation
between assets and the companies that own them?
Should we expect to see more M&A and takeover activity
in Canada among REITs and corporations? Who else
might be predatory in these markets?
Moderators:
David Dulberg, Managing Director, RBC Capital
Markets Real Estate Group
Katherine Lee, Managing Director, GE Real Estate
Panel:
Kenny Gibson, President & CEO, InnVest REIT
Simon Nyilassy, President & CEO, Calloway REIT
Peter Senst, Vice President & Director, CB
Richard Ellis Limited
Paul Zemla, CIO, Bentall Investment Management LP
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4:10
p.m. |
ADJOURNMENT |
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© 2006
York
Communications
,
all
rights
reserved. |
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