Wednesday, September 17, 2008
 

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7:15 a.m. REGISTRATION AND CONTINENTAL BREAKFAST
8:00 a.m. WELCOME AND OPENING REMARKS
 

 

Conference Chairmen:
Neil Downey, Managing Director, RBC Capital Markets
Sam Kolias
, Chairman & CEO, Boardwalk REIT

 

8:05 a.m.

THE CONTINUING EVOLUTION OF THE CANADIAN REIT MARKET

 

 
As 2008 continues to evolve as a year of considerable challenges for the capital markets in general as well as for the real estate asset class, this opening presentation will provide a brief overview of the key issues facing REITs, lenders, and investors in the Canadian market.

Speaker:
Carolyn Blair,
Managing Director
,
     RBC Capital Markets Real Estate Group


To request a copy of the PowerPoint presentation please click here.
 

8:25 a.m.

GLOBAL REIT & REAL ESTATE MARKET TRENDS: THE PERSPECTIVE FROM AUSTRALIA, EUROPE & THE UNITED STATES

 

 

 

 

 

A brief overview followed by a panel discussion on the current performance and emerging trends in REIT markets in Europe, the United States, Australia and Asia.

 

This panel will be conducted as an interactive discussion between the moderator and the five senior executives as they  comment on the following trends:     

 

Overview of Global Real Estate and REIT Markets

 

A brief presentation on the size, performance metrics and key drivers of each of the major global REIT markets, e.g. cap rates, interest rates, inflation rates, IRRs. Which countries and property classes have been the best and worst performers? What is the forecast for the best and worst performers in 2009? What countries have not yet launched a REIT market?

 

The US Property & REIT Market

 

Given the impact of the fallout from the subprime market issues, is this a good time to invest in US public real estate companies and markets again? What are the top three issues that investors must consider when looking at this market?

 

The REIT & Property Market in the United Kingdom

 

Why has the UK market performed so poorly in the past year? With cap rates where they are now, is the UK becoming a more compelling investment proposition? What are the top three issues that investors must examine when considering allocations to this market? Since the UK represents 9% of the global real estate securities market, these are important considerations.

 

The REIT & Property Market in the Remainder of Europe

 

What is currently so appealing about the markets on the Continent? Although most development activity on the Continent tends to take place in Central and Eastern Europe, what are the investment risks in these markets given their rising land costs and cap rates that are matching those in Western Europe? What are the top three issues facing investors?

 

Australian REITs & Property Market

 

While the Australian securitized property market has been solidly established and highly respected, REITs have been facing some considerable challenges over the past year. What are the top three issues that investors and REIT executives are dealing with in this market?

 

Global Expansion

 

What are your plans to change your strategic allocation and focus more on specific markets and reduce your exposure in other countries? Are the emerging markets in India, China and other Asia countries on your priority list? What are the key factors driving any of your global strategies at this time? What are the key risks in your markets: Economic? Political? Legislative? Capital markets? Currency? 

 

REITs and Development

 

Can REITs keep undertaking new development in the current environment of sagging investor support, rising land prices, higher construction costs, and mixed economic fundamentals? How can you determine the right risk-adjusted returns on development? How do returns on acquisitions compare with returns on development? Which countries and markets are best suited for development activity and why?

 

Capital and the Use of Joint Ventures

How are you financing your business and growth in the current market conditions? What are your primary sources and your costs of capital? Where is debt easier to source (geographically) and where is it more difficult? Can you still raise equity capital for core funds? If you can raise equity, how do you ensure access to debt capital? 

 


 

Moderator:
Jean-Guy Talbot, President, Presima Inc., an affiliate of Cadim, a division of the Caisse de dépôt et placement du Québec, one of the ten largest real estate asset managers in the world. Presima offers investment management services that focus on and specialize in publicly traded real estate securities on international exchanges. The company is currently pursuing four distinct investment strategies in the global real estate securities universe and has over $1.6 billion in assets under management.
 

Panel:

Ian Coull, Chief Executive & Member of the Nomination Committee, SEGRO plc, a UK-based leading provider of flexible business space across Europe and one of the largest REITs in the world, serving more than 1,600 clients in 10 countries. With a portfolio valued at £5.2 billion and 44.1 million square feet of business space, SEGRO has an annual rent roll of £250 million. Ian was appointed Chief Executive on January 1, 2003.

 

Cedrik Lachance, Senior Analyst, Green Street Advisors Inc., which employs the largest real estate securities research team of any organization - on or off Wall Street. Cedrik co-manages Green Street's research team covering the office property sector, and leads coverage on the US and European industrial property sectors. He was a winner of the Wall Street Journal’s, "Best on the Street" award in the real estate category in 2008

 

Hamid Moghadam, Chairman & CEO, AMB Property Corporation, a leading U.S.-based industrial REIT that develops, acquires, owns and operates facilities in key global distribution markets serving some 2,800 customers in 45 markets across 14 countries throughout the Americas, Europe and Asia, with a portfolio of over 150 million square feet. Hamid co-founded AMB in 1983 and led the company through its initial public offering in 1997.

 

Michael O'Brien, COO, The GPT Group, a highly diversified Australian REIT since 1971, with total assets of $14 billion. GPT’s portfolio includes retail, office, hotels, and industrial/business parks in Australia, seniors housing in the US, and a 50% interest in a joint venture with Babcock & Brown, which owns $7.1 billion of assets in Europe and the US. GPT also has $8.5 billion in assets under management through its Australian and European funds, and a development pipeline with $4.9 billion of current and planned projects in Australia.

 

Mark Stefanek, Chief Financial Officer, Westfield America the world’s largest listed retail property group by equity market capitalization. The Group has interests in and operates a global portfolio of 118 high quality regional shopping centres in Australia, New Zealand, the United States and United Kingdom valued at more than $63 billion, with almost 23,000 retailers in more than 10 million square metres of retail space.  

 

9:45 a.m.

MORNING REFRESHMENTS

10:10 a.m.

CANADIAN MARKET FUNDAMENTALS AND PROPERTY VALUES: HERE ARE WE IN THE CYCLE?

 

 

An overview presentation providing some insights on the key fundamentals of the Canadian real estate market and how property values have faired in 2008. Among the questions that will be addressed are the following:

  • Where are cap rates and asset values at this time? To what extent have they changed in the past year?

  • How active has the investment market been in 2008? Is it trending one way or another?

  • How strong is the leasing market?

  • What is the outlook for the Canadian market and the cycle for 2009?

Sandy McNair, President, Altus InSite
Paul Morassutti, Executive Vice President, Operations, Altus Group

To request a copy of the PowerPoint presentation please click here.
 

10:40 a.m.

CAPITAL & DEBT MARKETS  ROUNDTABLE:

REIT EQUITY AND DEBT IN A CHANGED WORLD – WHAT IS THE INVESTMENT RATIONALE AND WHAT ARE THE RISKS AND RETURNS GOING FORWARD?

 





North American interest rates appear to have bottomed out as fears of inflation start as a result of accelerating energy and commodity prices among other factors. Housing markets across Canada appear to have leveled off. Volatility continues in the equity markets and the cost of capital has changed with the repricing of risk and the reduction of some of the liquidity in the credit markets. Against this backdrop, how are REITs performing? What is the case for investing in REITs?

  • How is the changing interest rate environment affecting securities?

  • How will REITs fare in a downturn? In a higher inflation environment?

  • Can you have a public market where buyers value REITs below their Net Asset Value?

  • How will REITs compete for capital against other industry sectors?

  • How do investors deal with the confusing market metrics associated with real estate assets? Will IFRS make valuation easier or harder?

  • To what extent will the confusion grow under SIFT and other changing tax and valuation rules?

  • How does an investor and a lender get to know the real debt structure of a REIT?

  • What are the issues for lenders and investors related to obtaining proper covenant disclosures?

  • What impact has the credit crunch had on debt and raising financing? To what extent has risk been repriced? What is the price of capital?

  • What are appropriate levels of debt for REITs? What is the role of convertible debentures?

  • What is the outlook for the cost and availability of debt and equity capital in 2009?

Moderator:

Stephen Sender, Managing Director and Industry Head, Scotia Capital Inc. 

 

Panel:    

Rags Davloor, Senior Vice President & CFO, RioCan REIT

Kevin Hall, Senior Portfolio Manager, Canadian Equity Investments,
   Guardian Capital LP

Michael Smith, Senior Vice President, Real Estate & Hospitality Analyst,
     Equity Research, National Bank Financial

Carl Tash, CEO & Chief Portfolio Strategist, Cliffwood Partners LLC,
     the oldest real estate hedge fund in the United States

Moray Tawse, Vice President, Mortgage Investments,
     First National Financial LP

 

11:45 a.m.

CONCURRENT SESSIONS (Select A1 or A2)

 

Session A1
THE UNDERLYING STRATEGY FOR SMALLER REITS: HOW DO THEY PROVIDE VALUE IN TODAY’S MARKET?




Over the past three years in particular, there has been a continued emergence of small or micro cap Canadian REITs. The trend was initially fueled by a strong appetite for yield product by the public markets and the resulting cost of capital advantage that a smaller cap REIT could have over similar smaller real estate operators. But given the significant and somewhat turbulent changes that have occurred in the capital markets, interest rates, and bond markets in the past year, what are the underlying fundamentals supporting the case for smaller REITs in today’s investment environment? What are the challenges facing the executives of these entities and how are they addressing them? How can small REITs grow and obtain greater mass? 

 

Moderator:

Mark Rothschild, Principal & Real Estate Analyst, Genuity Capital Markets

 

Panel:

David Fiume, President & CEO, Retrocom Mid-Market REIT

Armin Martens, President & CEO, Artis REIT

Dennis Mitchell, Portfolio Manager, Sentry Select Capital Corp.

Ari Silverberg, President & COO, Charter REIT

 

Session A2
DEAL FLOW: DOING BUSINESS WITH A REIT IN TODAY’S MARKET

 

 

 




An insightful discussion on how a cross-section of REITs are conducting transactions in today’s prevailing market environment. The panel will address a range of questions including: 

  • How are REITs evaluating deals today?

  • What are REITs buying and what are they selling?

  • What information do they need to quickly analyze a deal and make or accept an offer?

  • How do they move through due diligence to closing?

  • How does the structure of a REIT affect deal flow?

  • Is there any difference between how a REIT behaves as a developer vs. a non-REIT?

  • How do REITs’ acquisition abilities compare to non-REITs?

Moderator:
Andre Kuzmicki, Executive Director, Program in Real Estate and Infrastructure, Schulich School of Business, York University; Trustee, Chartwell Seniors Housing REIT
    
 

Panel:
William Chidley, Senior Vice President, Corporate Development,
     Boardwalk REIT

Louis Forbes, CFO, Primaris Retail REIT

Simon Nyilassy, President & CEO, Calloway REIT

Stephen Taylor, President & COO, Morguard Investments Limited

 

12:50 p.m.

LUNCHEON REFRESHMENTS
 

  INFORMAL NETWORKING LUNCHEON


 

1:40 p.m.

ECONOMIC OUTLOOK FOR 2009: 
WHERE ARE INTEREST RATES HEADING? IS THE SUBPRIME FALLOUT OVER YET? WHAT LIES AHEAD?


An examination of key economic trends and indicators in Canada and the United States with a specific view towards their future direction for the last quarter of 2008 and beyond. Have we seen the end of the fallout resulting from the subprime market turbulence? What is the likely future direction for energy costs, interest rates, economic growth, and the rate of inflation?

Using a wireless survey, the audience will be polled for their predictions prior to the presentation. You will have an opportunity to compare your thinking with the expert’s views.

Introduction:
Christopher Fowles
, Partner, Torys LLP

 

Speaker:

Derek Burleton, Associate Vice President & Director of Economic Analysis,
     TD Bank Financial Group

 

2:20 p.m.

THE CLOCK IS TICKING: HOW ARE REITS ADAPTING TO THE SIFT RULES AND TO IFRS CHANGES?

 

 

The year 2011 has a double meaning to REITs as the deadline for SIFT rule compliance as well as for Canadian transition to the same accounting standards that are being used by publicly-accountable enterprises in the EU and many other countries around the world. International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) are being promoted as a single set of high quality, understandable and enforceable global standards.

  • Given the prevailing SIFT rules and the need for continuous compliance, how are REIT structures adapting?

  • Under IFRS, how are accounting standards governing REITs going to change? How are they affecting or will they affect business decisions? Stock Valuations?

  • Readiness assessment: What are REIT executives doing to prepare for both deadlines? What are Trustees doing to get up to speed?

  • What will be significantly different for a REIT in an IFRS world?

Introduction:
David Ehrlich, Partner, Stikeman Elliott LLP

 

Short Presentations:
Michael Brooks, CEO, Real Property Association of Canada – The latest
      news from Ottawa

Peter Buzzi
, Managing Director & Co-Head, Mergers & Acquisitions Group,
      RBC Capital Markets
– The rationale and track record for trust
      conversions

John Cressatti, Partner, Deloitte & Touche LLP – IFRS implications for
      REITs

Tom Rothfischer, Partner, KPMG LLP – Options for REITs (status quo,
     corps, stapled, etc)

 

3:15 p.m.

THINKING STRATEGICALLY: HOW ARE REITS GROWING IN THE CURRENT MARKET ENVIRONMENT? WHAT DOES THE FUTURE HOLD?

 

An insightful examination of challenges, trends and issues facing Canadian REITs, and how senior executives are responding in this unpredictable environment.

  • Given the interest rate environment, changing tax and valuation rules, and the re-pricing of capital, are Canadian REITs going to continue to be a viable proposition? If so, why? If not, then why not?

  • What are the unresolved issues related to SIFT, e.g. property management, mezzanine financing?

  • What does the future hold for REITS that are non-compliant with SIFT?

  • Will many REITs have to restructure their entities going forward?

  • What impact will IFRS have on how Canadian REITs will be viewed?

  • How are REITs managing to grow your business under current market conditions?

  • Can REITs grow by increasing their debt levels? Should they?

  • Are declining payout ratios a good thing or not?

  • Are Declarations of Trust still relevant?

  • What impact is the growing interest in greener buildings and corporate sustainable responsibility having on the operating and development strategies of REITs?

Moderator:
Sam Kolias
, Chairman & CEO, Boardwalk REIT

 

Panel:

Neil Downey, Managing Director, RBC Capital Markets

Michael Emory, President & CEO, Allied Properties REIT

Ira Gluskin, President & CIO, Gluskin Sheff + Associates Inc.

Dori Segal, President & CEO, First Capital Realty Inc.

Stephen Suske, CEO & Vice Chair, Chartwell Seniors Housing REIT

Fred Waks, Executive Vice President & COO, RioCan REIT

 

4:15 p.m. ADJOURNMENT

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