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PROGRAM
Tuesday, September 15, 2009
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Presenter Biographies
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7:15 am |
REGISTRATION & CONTINENTAL BREAKFAST
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8:00 am |
WELCOME & OPENING REMARKS |
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Conference Co-Chairmen:
Neil Downey, Managing Director & Real Estate Analyst,
RBC Capital
Markets
Simon Nyilassy, President & CEO, Calloway REIT
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8:05 am |
OVERVIEW PRESENTATIONS
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GLOBAL REIT & REAL ESTATE MARKET TRENDS:
WHAT GOES DOWN MUST COME UP |
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A brief quantitative examination of how
public real estate companies and major property markets have performed
over the past year. Who is up, who is down, how much, and why? The
presentation will be provided by the managers of the EPRA NAREIT FTSE
Global Indices.
Fraser Hughes, Research Director,
European Public Real Estate
Association
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HOW IS CANADIAN SECURITIZED REAL ESTATE
PERFORMING? |
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A comparative look at the key trends
among the REITs and REOCs in Canada, and how they are performing
compared with Australia, the United States and other advanced
securitized markets.
William Wong, Managing Director, RBC Capital Markets Real Estate Group
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8:40 am |
THE GLOBAL PANEL: REIT ISSUES AND
PROSPECTS AROUND THE WORLD |
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A qualitative review of global property
and REIT markets, by a panel of industry association leaders. What are
the local pressures on the REIT structure? How are governments
responding to debt scarcity and illiquidity? Have they been successful?
Have underlying property markets turned? Which countries are
contemplating a new REIT vehicle? What are the issues facing this global
vehicle moving forward? How has the buy side responded? What structural
REIT changes are afoot? How significant has been the de-levering and
right-sizing of balance sheets?
Moderator:
Michael Brooks, CEO, Real Property Association of Canada
Panel:
Philip Charls, CEO, European Public Real Estate Association
Tatsuo Ichii, Secretary General,
The Association for Real Estate Securitization (Japan)
Liz Peace, Chief Executive Officer, British Property Federation
Steven Wechsler, President & CEO,
National Association of Real Estate
Investment Trusts
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9:50 am |
REFRESHMENTS
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10:15 am |
CANADIAN MARKET FUNDAMENTALS AND PROPERTY
VALUES: WHERE ARE WE IN THE CYCLE? |
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An overview presentation providing
some insights on the principal fundamentals of the Canadian real estate
market and how property values have faired in 2009. Among the questions
that will be addressed:
- What have been the key transactions in office, retail, industrial,
apartment, seniors and hotel properties to this point in time in 2009?
- Given the significant falloff in investment activity, how do you
determine what the cap rates and NAVs are in this market?
- How strong is the leasing market?
- What is the outlook for the Canadian market and the cycle for 2010?
Are there regional differences?
Sandy McNair, President, Altus InSite
Colin Johnston, Executive Vice President,
Research, Valuation &
Advisory, Altus Group
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10:45 am |
WHO ARE THE INVESTORS NOW AND WHAT ARE
THEIR EXPECTATIONS? IMPROVED BALANCE SHEETS? LOWER PAY-OUT RATIOS? NONE
OF THE ABOVE? |
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North American interest rates appear
to have bottomed out as fears of inflation start as a result of
accelerating energy and commodity prices, and record high government
debt. Housing markets across Canada appear to have leveled off.
Notwithstanding an uptrend since March, volatility continues in the
equity markets. And the cost of capital has changed with the repricing
of risk.
Against this backdrop, how are REITs and REOCs performing? What is the
case for investing in securitized real estate at this time?
- Is the investor base for REIT's and REOCs changing or not?
- What are the expectations of the investor base? Are they focused on
income or total return?
- Investors appear to be rewarding REITs with conservative balance
sheets and low pay-out ratios. Do institutional investors agree with
this strategy?
- If a REIT currently trading at a low multiple were to cuts its
distributions and take steps to improve its balance sheet, would
investors reward or punish this initiative?
- How do REITs and REOCs stack up against other investment options? How
will they compete for capital against other asset classes?
- Is it better to buy single assets in this market or to own real estate
securities?
- How do investors deal with the confusing market metrics associated
with real estate assets? Will IFRS make valuation easier or harder?
- To what extent will confusion grow under SIFT and other changing tax
and valuation rules?
Moderator:
Stephen Sender, Managing Director & Industry Head, Real Estate,
Scotia
Capital Markets Inc.
Panel:
Frédéric Blondeau,
Vice President & CIO, Presima Inc.
Kevin Hall, Senior Portfolio Manager, Canadian Equity Investments
Guardian Capital LP
Sandy McIntyre, Senior Vice President & CIO,
Sentry Select Capital
Corporation
Michael Smith, Managing Director, Real Estate,
Macquarie Research
Equities,Macquarie Securities Group
Stephen Taylor, President & COO, Morguard Investments Limited
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11:45 am |
CONCURRENT SESSIONS
(Select A1
or A2) |
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SESSION A1
HOW MUCH LIQUIDITY HAS RETURNED TO THE PROPERTY MARKET?
WHAT ARE THE OPPORTUNITIES, RISKS AND RETURNS GOING FORWARD? |
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An insightful discussion on the issues
related to investment activity in today’s market environment. The panel
will address a range of questions including:
- What are the challenges that REITs and REOCs are facing in buy or sell
assets in this market?
- What are the differences, if any, between the issues faced by a REIT
vs. a REOC vs. a non-securitized real estate investor in acquiring
properties?
- What information do they need in order to try to do a deal in this
market?
- How much leverage can they use in a transaction?
- How does the structure of a REIT affect deal flow?
- Private equity funds: what are they likely to be doing over the next
twelve months?
- What are the major lessons that have been learned so far from the
credit crisis?
- What advantages or disadvantages do REITs and REOCs face today
compared to private buyers?
Moderator:
Gary Morassutti, Managing Director,
RBC Capital Markets Real Estate
Group
Panel:
Ugo Bizzarri, CFO & Vice President, Acquisitions, Timbercreek Asset
Management Inc. and
Trustee, Timbercreek REIT
Jonathan Gitlin, Vice President, Investments, RioCan REIT
Adam Paul, Vice President, Investments, CREIT
Terry Whalen, CIO, Chartwell Seniors Housing REIT
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SESSION A2
PURE PLAY VS. DIVERSIFIED PLAY? STRATEGIES TO GROW YOUR REIT OR REOC IN
THIS MARKET |
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All REITs and REOCs are not created
equally. Some are considered to be “value creators” while others would
be deemed to be “financial engineers”. Some are a “pure play” with a
strong focus and competitive positioning while others are a “diversified
play” operating in the deepest part of the stream and growing more
rapidly. Some have a mandate to build a real estate investment vehicle,
while others are creating development and operating platforms. This
panel will discuss and debate some of the challenges, risks and rewards
of some of these various strategic options. How is Alberta faring in the
face of the soft natural gas prices and the overbuilt housing and office
markets? How will the stresses of the manufacturing sector ripple
through REITs and REOCs? How have the retail and industrial markets
fared in the current economy? Should REITs and REOCs be more diversified
in order to grow in this market?
Moderator:
David Ehrlich, Partner, Stikeman Elliott LLP
Panel:
Louis Forbes, CFO, Primaris Retail REIT
Philip Fraser, President & CEO, Killam Properties Inc.
Kenny Gibson, President & CEO, InnVest REIT
Gareth MacRae, Associate, Real Estate / REITs, BMO Capital Markets
Armin Martens, President & CEO, Artis REIT
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12:45 pm |
INFORMAL
LUNCHEON

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LUNCHEON REFRESHMENTS
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1:40 pm |
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK FOR 2010: HOW CLOSE IS
THE LIGHT AT THE END OF THE TUNNEL? |
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An insightful examination of key trends
in the North American economy with a specific view towards their future
direction over the short and medium terms, including the outlook for GDP
growth, interest rates, energy and commodity prices, the value of the
Canadian dollar, and the rate of inflation. How will the recovery
materialize over the next twelve months? What impact will weak
manufacturing conditions have on employment growth? What will be the key
indicators that we will be able to see the light at the end of the
tunnel?
Using a wireless survey, the audience will be polled for their
predictions prior to the presentation. You will have an opportunity to
compare your thinking with the expert’s views.
Patricia Croft, Chief Economist, RBC Global Asset Management
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2:15 pm |
CONCURRENT SESSIONS
(Select B1
or B2) |
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SESSION B1
BEST PRACTICES VS. EASY PRACTICES: WHAT ARE THE MAJOR DIFFERENCES
BETWEEN GAAP AND IFRS? WHAT ARE THE MOST EFFECTIVE PERFORMANCE METRICS? |
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The year 2011 has a double meaning to
REITs as the deadline for SIFT rule compliance as well as the date for
Canadian transition to the same accounting standards that are being used
by publicly accountable enterprises in the EU and many other countries
around the world. International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) are
being promoted as a single set of high quality, understandable and
enforceable global standards.
This panel discussion on "best practices vs. easy practices" will begin
by examining the major differences between current GAAP rules and IFRS,
and what investors should or could expect in the future. Consider the
current differences between United States which looks exclusively at
U.S. GAAP reporting entities, while European, Asian and Australian teams
and investors look at IFRS. Is disclosure better under IFRS? What are
the different metrics used elsewhere? What will be significantly
different for a Canadian REIT in an IFRS world?
Moderator:
Tom Rothfischer, Partner, KPMG LLP
Panel:
Paul Miatello, CFO, Morguard Corporation
James Miles, Vice President, Finance & CFO, Homburg Invest Inc.
Dennis Mitchell, Portfolio Manager, Sentry Select Capital Corporation
Shant Poladian, Real Estate/REIT Analyst, Canaccord Adams
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SESSION B2
FINANCING STRATEGIES: HOW REITS AND REOCS ARE FACILITATING DEAL FLOW AND
CAPITAL REQUIREMENTS IN A TOUGH MARKET? |
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According to a recent study, Canadian
REITs and REOCs continue to have good access to conventional mortgages
and a select few have had encouraging access to the unsecured debenture
market despite tightening credit markets and challenging economic
conditions. DBRS attributes this access to the debt markets on the
relativity strong and solvent Canadian banking system, which has filled
some of the void left by pension funds, insurance companies and foreign
institutional lenders. Most REITs and REOCs are also well capitalized,
have balanced debt maturity profiles and generally have high-quality
assets, which are easier to refinance.
To what extent are the results of this study correct? How are REITs and
REOCs allocating their capital? How are they financing their activities?
How much has the repricing of risk affected the cost and supply of debt
financing? What are appropriate levels of debt for REITs? What is the
challenge of refinancing maturing debt in this market? Is the nature of
a REIT’s debt key to its success? Are declining payout ratios a good
thing or not? What is the ability of a public real estate company to
issue new equity? What are the challenges of non-accretive deals and the
impact of SIFT rules on financing? Since the cost of capital has clearly
increased, should REITs bring down their distribution pay-out ratio to a
more conservative level? What are some examples of creative financing
that REITs and RECOs have used to raise capital in this market?
Moderator:
Sam Damiani, Vice President & Director,
Real Estate & Lodging Equity Research, TD Newcrest
Panel:
Mario Barrafato, Senior Vice President & CFO, Dundee REIT
Ciro DeCiantis, Partner, Deloitte & Touche LLP
Paul Holman, Managing Director, Real Estate, DBRS Limited
Pat Koval, Partner, Torys LLP
Darren Latoski, President, Sunstone Realty Advisors
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3:10 pm |
AFTERNOON REFRESHMENTS |
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3:15 pm |
THINKING STRATEGICALLY: HOW ARE REITS AND
REOCS GROWING IN THE CURRENT MARKET ENVIRONMENT? WHAT DOES THE FUTURE
HOLD? |
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An insightful examination of challenges,
trends and issues facing Canadian REITs and REOCs, and how senior
executives are responding in this rather unpredictable and occasionally
turbulent environment.
- What have been the most important lessons that have been learned by
CEOs so far from the credit crisis?
- Short term thinking vs. long term strategy: what are your plans for
playing offense in a down market? What are the opportunities and
options? How are you executing your plan?
- What makes a good public real estate company? Should it be doing
development? Should it be pursuing leveraged partnerships? What is the
right Balance Sheet structure for a REIT or REOC going forward?
- What does the future hold for REITS that are non-compliant with SIFT?
Will any more REITs have to restructure their entities going forward?
- What impact will IFRS have on how Canadian REITs and REOCs will be
viewed?
- What human resource issues are arising out of the current economic
environment?
- Is it likely that M&A activity will occur in the real estate sector in
2010, either because the strong will take over the weak or because of
privatizations of even the strong?
- Where are we going to be in 18 to 24 months? Will discounts to
underlying value persist or is it even real? Have market conditions
affected people strategies?
Moderator:
Simon Nyilassy, President & CEO, Calloway REIT
Panel:
Scott Crowe, Senior Vice President and Global
Strategist/Portfolio Manager, Real Estate Securities, Cohen & Steers
Inc.
Neil Downey, Managing Director & Real Estate Analyst,
RBC Capital
Markets
Michael Emory, President & CEO, Allied Properties REIT
Roberto Geremia, President, Boardwalk REIT
Dori Segal, President & CEO, First Capital Realty Inc.
and Executive
Chairman,
Gazit-Globe Ltd.
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4:15 pm |
ADJOURNMENT |
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