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2010 Winnipeg Real Estate Forum
Program

 
 
 

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TUESDAY, APRIL 20
6:00 pm - 7:30 pm THE CHAIRMAN'S RECEPTION
Networking opportunity for all Forum delegates in the Gallery at the award winning Manitoba Hydro Place


 

WEDNESDAY, APRIL 21
7:15 am REGISTRATION & CONTINENTAL BREAKFAST

 

8:00 am WELCOME AND INTRODUCTION OF CHAIRMAN

Ken Yee, Senior Executive Vice President, Cushman & Wakefield Ltd.

OPENING COMMENTS

Michael Nesbitt
, Chairman, Montrose Mortgage Corporation Ltd.
 

 
8:05 am

THE ECONOMIC OUTLOOK FOR THE WINNIPEG MARKET
Within the Canadian context, Winnipeg is projected to have the best economic performance of any large city (population over 500,000) in Canada. While other cities’ economies have been contracting, Winnipeg experienced a modest growth in its GDP for 2009. This presentation will examine the outlook and performance of this unique market. What are its major economic drivers? What is the outlook for employment, population, and economic growth for Winnipeg? How do the prospects for this market compare with the outlook for other major Canadian cities?  

Mario Lefebvre, Director,
Centre for Municipal Studies,
   The Conference Board of Canada
 

 
8:35 am HOW IS THE WINNIPEG LEASING AND INVESTMENT MARKET PERFORMING?
An overview of leasing and investment activity in Winnipeg over 2009 and the first Quarter of 2010. Were there any benchmark leasing and investment deals during the past twelve months? What is the outlook for 2010 in the office, retail, industrial and multi-unit residential sectors in terms of absorption rates, cap rates and potential leasing and investment activity? How do the prospective trends for Winnipeg compare with other major Canadian markets?

Colin Johnston, Executive Vice President, Research, Valuation & Advisory,
   Altus Group
Sandy McNair, President, Altus InSite

To request a copy of the presentation for this session, please click here.
 
 
9:00 am WINNIPEG’S COMPETITIVE EDGE: WHAT WILL PROVIDE THIS MARKET WITH SUSTAINABLE GROWTH?
Two essential elements found in many of today’s successful cities are a diversified range of strong economic drivers coupled with a vibrant population and culture that inspires and attracts an intellectual market of residents. So how does Winnipeg fare in this regard? What competitive advantage does it offer? The city has a highly educated and productive workforce, low cost energy, a central location with excellent multi-model transportation system for distribution of goods to market, and a diversified manufacturing base that includes agri-business and aerospace among other industries. Winnipeg is also known for providing employees with an outstanding balance between work and quality of life. A 2008 study by KPMG showed that this market also has among the lowest overall business costs of major Canadian cities.
The speakers in this session will focus Winnipeg’s competitive advantage in some greater depth.

Moderator:
Bill Morrissey, Senior Vice President, Winnipeg Chamber of Commerce

Why We Have Made Major Investments in Winnipeg
Mark Chipman, Chairman, True North Sports & Entertainment Ltd.

Centre Port Winnipeg: The Development of an 20,000 Acre Inland Port
Diane Gray, President & CEO, CentrePort Canada Inc.

How Diversified is Winnipeg's Economy?
Jim Hrichishen, Director, Economic & Fiscal Analysis Branch,
   Manitoba Finance


 
 
10:15 am MORNING REFRESHMENTS  
10:40 am CONCURRENT SESSION (Select A1 or A2)

Session A1

IS THE WINNIPEG OFFICE MARKET DOING BETTER THAN YOU THINK? WHAT CAN WE EXPECT IN 2010 AND GOING FORWARD?
This session will examine what the future holds for the Winnipeg office market. Where are vacancy rates, cap rates and other underlying leasing and investment fundamentals heading at this time? Office space NERs tend to range from $10 to $18 per square foot – among the lowest in major Canadian and North American cities. What will it take to increase these rates? Are owners afraid to push rental rates even though operating costs are considerably lower than major cities across Canada? How are Class B and C properties performing compared to Class A? What is the outlook for demand and investment activity for 2010 and beyond? How much interest is there in greening new and existing buildings? How important is building labeling, e.g. LEED, BOMA BESt? What threat do new business parks pose to future downtown office developments?

Moderator:
Doug McDonald, President & CEO,
   NewWest Enterprise Property Group Inc.

Panel:
Patrick Burke, Independent Broker, Colliers Pratt McGarry
Wayne Chernecki, Senior Vice President, Western Canada,
   Commercial Properties Group, Redcliff Realty Management Inc.
Dan Edwards, President & CEO, Creswin Properties Inc.
Frank Sherlock, Vice President, Manitoba,
   Crown Property Management Inc.

Session A2

THE CHALLENGES OF THE INDUSTRIAL REAL ESTATE MARKET
Winnipeg is the largest distribution centre between Vancouver and Toronto. The city is at the core of both of Canada’s national intermodal rail systems with direct connections to the United States via CN and CP’s American subsidiaries. Winnipeg is also the headquarters for many of the top inter-provincial general freight carriers in Canada and offers access to ocean ports through Churchill and Thunder Bay. But faced with the current economic and credit market challenges, how is the industrial real estate market performing? Where do vacancy rates stand? How is the battered manufacturing sector impacting demand for industrial space? Is this decline cyclical or structural? What does the future hold for the older industrial properties that do not easily meet the needs of today’s logistics market and may be facing obsolescence? What is the outlook for the industrial sector over the next twelve months? 

Moderator:
Martin McGarry, President, DTZ Barnicke Winnipeg Ltd.

Panel:
Michael Falk, Vice President, Terracon Development
Ken Jones, Vice President, Industrial, Cushman & Wakefield Ltd.
Doug McGregor, Vice President, Leasing, Artis REIT
Darcy Payne, General Manager, Winnipeg, Bentall LP
Calvin Polet, President, Neptune Properties Inc.

 

 
11:45 am CONCURRENT SESSIONS (Select B1 or B2)

Session B1

THE RETAIL MARKET IN WINNIPEG: WHAT DO YOU SEE ON THE HORIZON?



The Winnipeg retail market appears to have some leasing strength. But what does the future hold? To what extent has the softening economy affected the cost of construction and the economics of the rents that developers must be able to charge to make a project realistic? How is the supply and demand balance at this time with respect to the various types of retail formats being offered, tenant interest in this market, and consumer spending? Differentiation is also a key ingredient between the existing centres and new projects. What plans do various retail owners in Winnipeg have with respect to new projects or upgrading their existing properties? Will new retailers be coming into this market? If so, who? What formats and innovations are growing in popularity? Do consumers really want more of the same stores, products and brands? What lies ahead for retail market activity in Winnipeg in 2010 and beyond?

Moderator:
Derrick Chartier, President, Winnipeg,
   CB Richard Ellis Chartier & Associates


Panel:
Deborah Green, General Manager, Polo Park Mall Shopping Centre
Michael Nozick, President, Fairweather Properties
Barry Shenkarow, President, Towers Realty Group
Sandy Shindleman, President, Shindico

Session B2

APARTMENT MARKET OVERVIEW: HOW IS THE SECTOR PERFORMING IN THIS MARKET? WHY IS IT ATTRACTING INVESTOR INTEREST?



This session will examine the major trends in demand, supply and investment activity in the Winnipeg apartment market. Among the questions that will be examined: what is the short and medium term outlook for the performance of the multi-unit residential sector; will rental demand and vacancy rates of 1% be sustained at their current levels; where are rent levels heading over the next twelve months; what impact is the condominium market having on the apartment sector; how many apartments are being converted to condominiums; how much investor interest is there in this asset class; where are cap rates heading; what is the impact of rent controls on this sector; and what has been the impact of CMHC mortgage insurance on apartment values.

Moderator:
Don White, National Investment Team, Colliers Pratt McGarry

Panel:
Ugo Bizzarri, CFO & Vice President, Acquisitions,
   Timbercreek Asset Management Inc.
John Bryk
, President, Sunrex Group of Companies
Richard Morantz
, President & CEO, Globe General Agencies
Jeff Rabb, President, Winpark Dorchester Properties


 

 
12:45 pm NETWORKING LUNCHEON

                     
 

Luncheon Refreshments


 

 

1:40 pm

KEYNOTE SPEAKER:
THE COMPETITIVENESS OF WINNIPEG FROM THE PERSPECTIVE OF A GLOBAL CORPORATION



Hartley Richardson, President & CEO, James Richardson & Sons; 
   Chairman, Canadian Council of Chief Executives

 
2:10 pm CONCURRENT SESSIONS (Select C1 or C2)

Session C1

CREDIT AND DEBT MARKETS: WHAT LIES AHEAD? WHERE ARE SPREADS HEADING? WHAT ARE THE MAJOR SOURCES?

A panel discussion that will focus specifically on the debt market and try to determine what borrowers can expect for the remainder of 2010 and beyond. What are some of the active lenders in Winnipeg looking for? How are they likely to assess a deal and price it? What property classes are they avoiding, reducing exposure to, or increasing pricing for? How will the strategies of pension funds, insurance companies and other institutions vary from those of private sources of debt capital? Is there still a shortage of credit and capital? Are there any changes on the horizon with respect to the pricing of risk and availability of more capital? How available are mezzanine financing and other secondary sources of debt? How are they being priced?

Moderator:
Ron Margolis, President,
   Margolis Capital - Commercial Mortgage Professionals


Panel:
Rick Bachalo, Vice President, Mortgage Investments,
   Western Canada, Great West Life Assurance Company
Tom Bryk, President & CEO, Cambrian Credit Union
Michael Fehr, Vice President, RBC Commercial Mortgages,
   Royal Bank of Canada
Robert Perkins, Executive Vice President & Partner, Trez Capital

Session C2

THE RENEWAL OF DOWNTOWN WINNIPEG: THE MTS CENTRE, CENTRE VENTURE DEVELOPMENT CORPORATION AND OTHER INITIATIVES



This session will examine a series of initiatives that have focused on revitalizing Winnipeg’s downtown core. The first part of the discussion will examine the mission, actions, and results of the Centre Venture Development Corporation in revitalizing the downtown core by working with investors and developers to identify opportunities, securing financing, and cutting through red tape to foster development. Part two will examine the role of the MTS Centre and an adjacent development and the reasons why national investors from outside of Winnipeg participated in these projects. The final portion of the discussion will focus on the efforts of Jack Levit as the developer of Lakeview Square, Colony Square, downtown's indoor skywalk system, and his plans for more recent projects. .

Moderator:
Nick Logan, President & CEO, National Leasing and
   Chairman, Destination Winnipeg


Panel:
Jack Levit, President & CEO, Lakeview Hotels REIT -
   Lakeview Management Inc.
Ross McGowan, President & CEO, CentreVenture Development Corporation
George Schott, President & CEO, Osmington Inc. and
   Chairman & CEO, Redcliff Realty Group


 

3:10 pm EXECUTIVE ROUNDTABLE
HOW DO MAJOR INVESTORS ASSESS THE RISKS, CHALLENGES, STRATEGIES AND OPPORTUNITIES FOR 2010 AND BEYOND?



A discussion with senior real estate executives as they provide their perspective on real estate market fundamentals for 2010 and beyond for the Winnipeg market and Canada as a whole. They will offer their insights on what they see occurring over the next twelve months, and their strategic thinking going forward. Among the other questions to be examined:
  • What are the most significant challenges, trends, risks and opportunities for investors and owners in the Winnipeg market?
  • Do they expect more improvements in the credit and capital markets over the next twelve months? What will be the key determinants of such a change?
  • What, if anything, will be done differently now as a result of these factors?
  • Where are we in the cycle? Where are cap rates heading?
  • What can be expected with respect to investment velocity, deal flow and a return to greater liquidity?
  • How do you achieve growth in rental rates in this market?
  • What are you seeing in capital, financial and real estate markets across Canada?
  • What asset classes and transactions will likely offer the best possible returns in 2010?
  • What needs to change in order for Winnipeg to reach its ultimate potential?

Moderator:
Michael Nesbitt, Chairman, Montrose Mortgage Corporation Ltd.

Panel:
Michael Emory, President & CEO, Allied Properties REIT
Jon Love, Managing Partner, KingSett Capital
Armin Martens, President & CEO, Artis REIT
Stephen Taylor, President & COO, Morguard Investments Limited
Arni Thorsteinson, President & CEO, Shelter Canadian Properties Limited

 

4:10 pm AFTERNOON & POST CONFERENCE REFRESHMENTS

 

 

Produced by MMPI Canada