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2010 Winnipeg Real Estate
Forum
Program |
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Supporting Association |
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TUESDAY, APRIL 20 |
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6:00 pm - 7:30 pm |
THE CHAIRMAN'S RECEPTION
Networking opportunity for all Forum delegates
in the Gallery at the award winning Manitoba Hydro Place

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WEDNESDAY, APRIL 21 |
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7:15 am |
REGISTRATION & CONTINENTAL BREAKFAST

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8:00 am |
WELCOME AND INTRODUCTION OF CHAIRMAN
Ken Yee, Senior Executive Vice President, Cushman &
Wakefield Ltd.
OPENING COMMENTS
Michael Nesbitt, Chairman, Montrose Mortgage Corporation Ltd.
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8:05 am |
THE
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK FOR THE WINNIPEG MARKET
Within the Canadian context, Winnipeg is projected to have the best
economic performance of any large city (population over 500,000) in
Canada. While other cities’ economies have been contracting, Winnipeg
experienced a modest growth in its GDP for 2009. This presentation will
examine the outlook and performance of this unique market. What are its
major economic drivers? What is the outlook for employment, population,
and economic growth for Winnipeg? How do the prospects for this market
compare with the outlook for other major Canadian cities?
Mario Lefebvre, Director,
Centre for Municipal Studies,

The
Conference Board of
Canada
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8:35 am |
HOW IS THE WINNIPEG LEASING AND
INVESTMENT MARKET PERFORMING?
An overview of leasing and investment activity in
Winnipeg over 2009 and the first Quarter of 2010. Were there any
benchmark leasing and investment deals during the past twelve months?
What is the outlook for 2010 in the office, retail, industrial and
multi-unit residential sectors in terms of absorption rates, cap rates
and potential leasing and investment activity? How do the prospective
trends for Winnipeg compare with other major Canadian markets?
Colin Johnston, Executive Vice President, Research, Valuation
& Advisory,
Altus Group
Sandy McNair, President, Altus InSite
To request a copy of
the presentation for this session, please
click here.
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9:00 am |
WINNIPEG’S COMPETITIVE EDGE:
WHAT WILL PROVIDE THIS MARKET WITH SUSTAINABLE GROWTH?
Two essential elements found in many of today’s successful cities are a
diversified range of strong economic drivers coupled with a vibrant
population and culture that inspires and attracts an intellectual market
of residents. So how does Winnipeg fare in this regard? What competitive
advantage does it offer? The city has a highly educated and productive
workforce, low cost energy, a central location with excellent
multi-model transportation system for distribution of goods to market,
and a diversified manufacturing base that includes agri-business and
aerospace among other industries. Winnipeg is also known for providing
employees with an outstanding balance between work and quality of life.
A 2008 study by KPMG showed that this market also has among the lowest
overall business costs of major Canadian cities.
The speakers in this session will focus Winnipeg’s competitive advantage
in some greater depth.
Moderator:
Bill Morrissey, Senior Vice President, Winnipeg
Chamber of Commerce
Why We Have Made Major Investments in Winnipeg
Mark Chipman, Chairman, True North Sports & Entertainment Ltd.
Centre Port Winnipeg: The Development of an 20,000 Acre Inland Port
Diane Gray, President & CEO, CentrePort Canada Inc.

How Diversified is Winnipeg's Economy?
Jim Hrichishen, Director, Economic & Fiscal Analysis Branch,
Manitoba Finance

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10:15 am |
MORNING REFRESHMENTS |
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10:40 am |
CONCURRENT SESSION
(Select A1
or A2)
Session A1
IS THE WINNIPEG OFFICE MARKET DOING BETTER THAN
YOU THINK? WHAT CAN WE EXPECT IN 2010 AND GOING FORWARD?
This session will examine what the future holds for the
Winnipeg office market. Where are vacancy rates, cap rates and other
underlying leasing and investment fundamentals heading at this time?
Office space NERs tend to range from $10 to $18 per square foot – among
the lowest in major Canadian and North American cities. What will it
take to increase these rates? Are owners afraid to push rental rates
even though operating costs are considerably lower than major cities
across Canada? How are Class B and C properties performing compared to
Class A? What is the outlook for demand and investment activity for 2010
and beyond? How much interest is there in greening new and existing
buildings? How important is building labeling, e.g. LEED, BOMA BESt?
What threat do new business parks pose to future downtown office
developments?
Moderator:
Doug McDonald, President & CEO,
NewWest Enterprise
Property Group Inc.

Panel:
Patrick Burke, Independent Broker, Colliers Pratt
McGarry
Wayne Chernecki, Senior Vice President, Western Canada,
Commercial Properties Group, Redcliff Realty Management Inc.
Dan Edwards, President & CEO, Creswin Properties Inc.
Frank Sherlock, Vice President, Manitoba,
Crown Property Management Inc.Session A2
THE CHALLENGES OF THE INDUSTRIAL REAL ESTATE MARKET
Winnipeg is the largest distribution centre between Vancouver
and Toronto. The city is at the core of both of Canada’s national
intermodal rail systems with direct connections to the United States via
CN and CP’s American subsidiaries. Winnipeg is also the headquarters for
many of the top inter-provincial general freight carriers in Canada and
offers access to ocean ports through Churchill and Thunder Bay. But
faced with the current economic and credit market challenges, how is the
industrial real estate market performing? Where do vacancy rates stand?
How is the battered manufacturing sector impacting demand for industrial
space? Is this decline cyclical or structural? What does the future hold
for the older industrial properties that do not easily meet the needs of
today’s logistics market and may be facing obsolescence? What is the
outlook for the industrial sector over the next twelve months?
Moderator:
Martin McGarry, President, DTZ Barnicke Winnipeg
Ltd.

Panel:
Michael Falk, Vice President, Terracon Development
Ken Jones, Vice President, Industrial, Cushman & Wakefield Ltd.
Doug McGregor, Vice President, Leasing, Artis REIT
Darcy Payne, General Manager, Winnipeg, Bentall LP
Calvin Polet, President, Neptune Properties Inc.
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11:45 am |
CONCURRENT SESSIONS (Select
B1
or
B2)
Session B1
THE RETAIL MARKET IN WINNIPEG: WHAT DO YOU
SEE ON THE HORIZON?

The Winnipeg retail market appears to have some leasing
strength. But what does the future hold? To what extent has the
softening economy affected the cost of construction and the economics of
the rents that developers must be able to charge to make a project
realistic? How is the supply and demand balance at this time with
respect to the various types of retail formats being offered, tenant
interest in this market, and consumer spending? Differentiation is also
a key ingredient between the existing centres and new projects. What
plans do various retail owners in Winnipeg have with respect to new
projects or upgrading their existing properties? Will new retailers be
coming into this market? If so, who? What formats and innovations are
growing in popularity? Do consumers really want more of the same stores,
products and brands? What lies ahead for retail market activity in
Winnipeg in 2010 and beyond?
Moderator:
Derrick Chartier, President, Winnipeg,
CB Richard Ellis Chartier & Associates
Panel:
Deborah Green, General Manager, Polo Park Mall Shopping Centre
Michael Nozick, President, Fairweather Properties
Barry Shenkarow, President, Towers Realty Group
Sandy Shindleman, President, Shindico
Session B2
APARTMENT MARKET OVERVIEW: HOW IS THE SECTOR
PERFORMING IN THIS MARKET? WHY IS IT ATTRACTING INVESTOR INTEREST?

This session will examine the major trends in demand, supply and
investment activity in the Winnipeg apartment market. Among the
questions that will be examined: what is the short and medium term
outlook for the performance of the multi-unit residential sector; will
rental demand and vacancy rates of 1% be sustained at their current
levels; where are rent levels heading over the next twelve months; what
impact is the condominium market having on the apartment sector; how
many apartments are being converted to condominiums; how much investor
interest is there in this asset class; where are cap rates heading; what
is the impact of rent controls on this sector; and what has been the
impact of CMHC mortgage insurance on apartment values.
Moderator:
Don White, National Investment Team, Colliers Pratt
McGarry

Panel:
Ugo Bizzarri, CFO & Vice President, Acquisitions,
Timbercreek Asset Management Inc.
John Bryk, President, Sunrex Group of Companies
Richard Morantz, President & CEO, Globe General Agencies
Jeff Rabb, President, Winpark Dorchester Properties
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12:45 pm |
NETWORKING LUNCHEON

Luncheon Refreshments

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1:40 pm |
KEYNOTE SPEAKER:
THE COMPETITIVENESS OF WINNIPEG FROM THE PERSPECTIVE OF A GLOBAL
CORPORATION

Hartley Richardson, President & CEO, James Richardson & Sons;
Chairman, Canadian Council of Chief Executives
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2:10 pm |
CONCURRENT SESSIONS (Select
C1 or
C2)
Session C1
CREDIT AND DEBT MARKETS: WHAT LIES AHEAD? WHERE
ARE SPREADS HEADING? WHAT ARE THE MAJOR SOURCES?
A panel discussion that will focus specifically on the debt market and
try to determine what borrowers can expect for the remainder of 2010 and
beyond. What are some of the active lenders in Winnipeg looking for? How
are they likely to assess a deal and price it? What property classes are
they avoiding, reducing exposure to, or increasing pricing for? How will
the strategies of pension funds, insurance companies and other
institutions vary from those of private sources of debt capital? Is
there still a shortage of credit and capital? Are there any changes on
the horizon with respect to the pricing of risk and availability of more
capital? How available are mezzanine financing and other secondary
sources of debt? How are they being priced?
Moderator:
Ron Margolis, President,
Margolis Capital - Commercial Mortgage Professionals

Panel:
Rick Bachalo, Vice President, Mortgage Investments,
Western Canada, Great West Life Assurance Company
Tom Bryk, President & CEO, Cambrian Credit Union
Michael Fehr, Vice President, RBC Commercial Mortgages,
Royal
Bank of Canada
Robert Perkins, Executive Vice President & Partner, Trez Capital
Session C2
THE RENEWAL OF DOWNTOWN WINNIPEG: THE MTS CENTRE, CENTRE VENTURE
DEVELOPMENT CORPORATION AND OTHER INITIATIVES

This session will examine a series of initiatives that have focused on
revitalizing Winnipeg’s downtown core. The first part of the discussion
will examine the mission, actions, and results of the Centre Venture
Development Corporation in revitalizing the downtown core by working
with investors and developers to identify opportunities, securing
financing, and cutting through red tape to foster development. Part two
will examine the role of the MTS Centre and an adjacent development and
the reasons why national investors from outside of Winnipeg participated
in these projects. The final portion of the discussion will focus on the
efforts of Jack Levit as the developer of Lakeview Square, Colony
Square, downtown's indoor skywalk system, and his plans for more recent
projects. .
Moderator:
Nick Logan, President & CEO, National Leasing and
Chairman, Destination Winnipeg

Panel:
Jack Levit, President & CEO, Lakeview Hotels REIT -
Lakeview Management Inc.
Ross McGowan, President & CEO, CentreVenture Development Corporation
George Schott, President & CEO, Osmington Inc. and
Chairman & CEO, Redcliff Realty Group
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3:10 pm |
EXECUTIVE ROUNDTABLE
HOW DO MAJOR INVESTORS ASSESS THE RISKS, CHALLENGES, STRATEGIES AND
OPPORTUNITIES FOR 2010 AND BEYOND?

A discussion with senior real estate executives as they provide their
perspective on real estate market fundamentals for 2010 and beyond for
the Winnipeg market and Canada as a whole. They will offer their
insights on what they see occurring over the next twelve months, and
their strategic thinking going forward. Among the other questions to be
examined:
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What are the most significant challenges, trends, risks and
opportunities for investors and owners in the Winnipeg market?
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Do they expect more improvements in the credit and capital markets
over the next twelve months? What will be the key determinants of such
a change?
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What, if anything, will be done differently now as a result of these
factors?
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Where are we in the cycle? Where are cap rates heading?
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What can be expected with respect to investment velocity, deal flow
and a return to greater liquidity?
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How do you achieve growth in rental rates in this market?
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What are you seeing in capital, financial and real estate markets
across Canada?
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What asset classes and transactions will likely offer the best
possible returns in 2010?
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What needs to change in order for Winnipeg to reach its ultimate
potential?
Moderator:
Michael Nesbitt, Chairman, Montrose Mortgage Corporation Ltd.
Panel:
Michael Emory, President & CEO, Allied Properties REIT
Jon Love, Managing Partner, KingSett Capital
Armin Martens, President & CEO, Artis REIT
Stephen Taylor, President & COO, Morguard Investments Limited
Arni Thorsteinson, President & CEO, Shelter Canadian Properties Limited
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4:10 pm |
AFTERNOON & POST CONFERENCE REFRESHMENTS
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